My team’s odds

Pick your team

Argentina

Champion probability 38.5%

Reach Round of 16

100.0%

Reach Quarterfinal

100.0%

Reach Semifinal

100.0%

Reach Final

71.2%

Win it all

38.5%

Most likely route to the title

likely opponent each round

Round of 32

Cabo Verde

2–020%95% likely

Win this game 94.5% · here this far 94.5%

Round of 16

Egypt

2–021%94% likely

Win this game 93.8% · here this far 88.7%

Quarterfinal

Switzerland

2–022%92% likely

Win this game 92.2% · here this far 81.8%

Semifinal

England

1–014%71% likely

Win this game 71.2% · here this far 58.2%

Final

France

1–113%54% likely

Win this game 53.7% · here this far 15.9%

tap to open in Play Bracket

from the opposite half of the draw

Opponent	This final	Win it	Predicted	Confidence
France	36.3%	19.5%	1–113%	54% likely
Spain	34.9%	19.1%	1–113%	55% likely
Germany	0%	0%	1–016%	79% likely
Paraguay	0%	0%	2–021%	94% likely
Sweden	0%	0%	2–022%	93% likely
South Africa	0%	0%	2–020%	95% likely
Canada	0%	0%	2–021%	94% likely
Netherlands	0%	0%	1–015%	75% likely
Morocco	0%	0%	2–021%	90% likely
Portugal	0%	0%	1–014%	71% likely
Croatia	0%	0%	2–019%	88% likely
Austria	0%	0%	2–022%	93% likely
United States	0%	0%	2–022%	93% likely
Bosnia & Herzegovina	0%	0%	2–021%	94% likely
Belgium	0%	0%	2–017%	83% likely
Senegal	0%	0%	2–022%	93% likely