My team’s odds

Pick your team

France

Champion probability 26.8%

Reach Round of 16

100.0%

Reach Quarterfinal

100.0%

Reach Semifinal

100.0%

Reach Final

50.9%

Win it all

26.8%

Most likely route to the title

likely opponent each round

Round of 32

Sweden

2–022%93% likely

Win this game 92.6% · here this far 92.6%

Round of 16

Paraguay

2–021%94% likely

Win this game 93.8% · here this far 86.9%

Quarterfinal

Morocco

2–019%88% likely

Win this game 88.0% · here this far 76.5%

Semifinal

Spain

1–113%51% likely

Win this game 50.9% · here this far 38.9%

Final

Argentina

1–113%54% likely

Win this game 46.3% · here this far 12.8%

tap to open in Play Bracket

from the opposite half of the draw

Opponent	This final	Win it	Predicted	Confidence
Argentina	36.3%	16.8%	1–113%	54% likely
England	14.7%	10.0%	1–013%	68% likely
Brazil	0%	0%	1–112%	61% likely
Japan	0%	0%	2–020%	89% likely
Ivory Coast	0%	0%	2–022%	93% likely
Norway	0%	0%	2–022%	92% likely
Mexico	0%	0%	2–022%	92% likely
Ecuador	0%	0%	2–021%	90% likely
Congo DR	0%	0%	2–020%	95% likely
Cabo Verde	0%	0%	2–020%	95% likely
Australia	0%	0%	2–021%	94% likely
Egypt	0%	0%	2–021%	94% likely
Switzerland	0%	0%	2–021%	91% likely
Algeria	0%	0%	2–021%	93% likely
Colombia	0%	0%	2–017%	84% likely
Ghana	0%	0%	2–021%	94% likely