My team’s odds

Pick your team

Spain

Champion probability 25.3%

Reach Round of 16

100.0%

Reach Quarterfinal

100.0%

Reach Semifinal

100.0%

Reach Final

49.1%

Win it all

25.3%

Most likely route to the title

likely opponent each round

Round of 32

Austria

2–022%93% likely

Win this game 92.3% · here this far 92.3%

Round of 16

Portugal

1–013%66% likely

Win this game 66.2% · here this far 61.1%

Quarterfinal

Belgium

1–016%80% likely

Win this game 79.7% · here this far 48.7%

Semifinal

France

1–113%51% likely

Win this game 49.1% · here this far 23.9%

Final

Argentina

1–113%55% likely

Win this game 45.4% · here this far 7.7%

tap to open in Play Bracket

from the opposite half of the draw

Opponent	This final	Win it	Predicted	Confidence
Argentina	34.9%	15.9%	1–113%	55% likely
England	14.1%	9.5%	1–013%	67% likely
Brazil	0%	0%	1–112%	60% likely
Japan	0%	0%	2–020%	89% likely
Ivory Coast	0%	0%	2–022%	93% likely
Norway	0%	0%	2–022%	92% likely
Mexico	0%	0%	2–022%	92% likely
Ecuador	0%	0%	2–020%	90% likely
Congo DR	0%	0%	2–020%	95% likely
Cabo Verde	0%	0%	2–020%	95% likely
Australia	0%	0%	2–021%	94% likely
Egypt	0%	0%	2–021%	94% likely
Switzerland	0%	0%	2–021%	90% likely
Algeria	0%	0%	2–022%	93% likely
Colombia	0%	0%	2–017%	83% likely
Ghana	0%	0%	2–021%	94% likely